There’s a very real possibility you’ll be watching Mitch Trubisky start for the Bears again in 2021.
To get to that point, which felt incomprehensible only a few weeks ago, only one thing has to happen. George McCaskey has to decide against sweeping change at Halas Hall.
And with every result that goes the Bears' way, inching this once-moribund team toward the NFC No. 7 seed, the likelihood increases McCaskey opts to run it back in 2021.
Meaning: The same coach. The same general manager. The same team president and CEO. The same defense-oriented core of players.
If Matt Nagy, Ryan Pace, Ted Phillips and a highly-paid defense are all back in 2021, Trubisky has to be, too.
This is not a column on whether that’d all be the product of sound decision-making from the NFL’s charter franchise or not. But I also don’t want to re-hash how bleak the Bears’ future is, or if blowing this team up is the right thing to do, after their 33-27 win over the Minnesota Vikings. We can re-visit those conversations later.
But it would make absolutely no sense to run things back with all those same people in place and then hand the reins of the offense back to Nick Foles or a rookie quarterback.
Foles’ contract ties him to the Bears in 2021. There won’t be enough cap space to sign or trade for a veteran starting-caliber guy like Dak Prescott or Jimmy Garoppolo without sacrificing from the core on which you’re betting next year.
Drafting a quarterback 16th or 17th overall – where the Bears will be picking with an 8-8 record at worst – will not get you a Day 1 starter. Trading up to draft a quarterback (which Pace very well could do) would sacrifice valuable picks needed to fill out the rest of the roster – specifically at right tackle and maybe wide receiver, if Allen Robinson is allowed to walk in free agency.
(The Bears, by the way, should draft a quarterback next year – just maybe not with a first-round pick. Although if Pace is in charge it remains to be seen if he’ll actually use another pick on a QB.)
So under this specific set of circumstances, the smart move for the Bears would be to bring back Trubisky. You can debate if the things that led to Bears to these circumstances would be smart. But if the Bears are running it back, they have to run it back with Trubisky, who shouldn’t cost much relative to the quarterback market and has shown real improvement over the last few games.
Most notably: It’s looked like coach and quarterback are on the same page in a way we haven’t seen over the last three years.
“We’re all collaborating and talking through schematics of the plays and what we like and what he feels good with,” Nagy said. “And not that we haven’t been doing that before, but you can obviously see that some of the stuff is a little different and it’s fitting us and it’s working.”
Trubisky, too, has clearly played with a noticeable uptick in trust lately – in himself, in his offensive line, in his players, in his coaches.
“I’m just going out there, trusting what I’m seeing, and I’m getting the ball in the right place,” Trubisky said. “Of course, there are always a couple of times a game where I’m on the field and I see something that happens differently than what they see on the sidelines or up in the box. We just communicate that stuff on the sidelines, continue to improve, move forward and have that constant communication and dialogue that helps us get better. But I definitely feel like my eyes have been in the right spot, and I’m doing what I’m coached to do, and I’m just trying to make plays for the offense.”
It's not just that Trubisky is playing better – it’s that his coaches are finally tailoring plays and gameplans to his strengths. We saw that happen time and time again on Sunday against the Vikings. The Bears are finally embracing what Trubisky does well, not what Nagy wants him to do well.
So while Trubisky may understandably still feel spurned by how and when Nagy benched him in September, his best path to landing a big contract in 2022 runs through Chicago – and with the offense the Bears have been running over the last few weeks.
This version of the Bears can win with Trubisky. They’re proving that right now. It might even result in a playoff appearance.
And if this version of the Bears is back in 2021, for it to have any success it has to include Trubisky under center, too.
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